College football tickets, and in particular the NCAA bowl game tickets, are some of the biggest money makers in the secondary event ticket market. As such, selling college football tickets can be particularly challenging as thousands of ticket brokers are competing for the same customers. While direct marketing bowl games is tricky until the actual teams involved are officially announced, the smart ticket brokers get ahead of the competition by anticipating the bowl bids and starting search engine optimization campaigns early.
As such, we thought it would be prudent to take a look at the current state of the BCS standings and make some predictions on who will be going to what BCS Bowl Games in 2012 (actually 2013). Prior to this weekend it was a given that Alabama would again be playing in the BCS Championship game. However, following Alabama’s dramatic loss to Texas A&M on Saturday, the BCS picture has changed substantially. As it stands today, here is who we think will play in each of the 5 BCS Bowl game this season.
BCS National Championship Game: Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs Kansas State Wildcats
Although we have 3 undefeated teams that can all make the case that they should be in the National Championship game, the most likely match up is Notre Dame vs Kansas State. Oregon has 3 games remaining and all will likely be against top 25 teams. The Ducks close out the season against #13 Stanford and #16 Oregon State before playing in the PAC 12 Championship likely against #17 UCLA. If the Ducks can win out they would be a shoe-in to be in the title game. However, we see the Ducks slipping up against one of them. Both Kansas State and Notre Dame has just 1 game remaining with a ranked opponent and will not have to play in a conference championship game. The K-State Wildcats will play #15 Texas while Notre Dame will play #18 USC.
Fiesta Bowl: Oklahoma Sooners vs. Georgia Bulldogs
With Kansas State likley headed to the BCS Championship game, the Oklahoma Sooners would represent the Big 12 in the Fiesta Bowl. Assuming Alabama wins out in the SEC, that would mean the Georgia Bulldogs would probably get an at-large berth in the Fiesta Bowl as the #2 SEC team.
Rose Bowl: Oregon Ducks vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers
The Rose Bowl features the top teams from the PAC 12 and Big 10. If we assume Oregon is going to falter down the stretch, then they would be Rose Bowl bound. With the Big 10 down this year (Ohio State is not bowl eligible), that leaves the Nebraska Cornhuskers as the likely champion. Both teams are popular and travel well which means strong ticket demand.
Sugar Bowl: Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Clemson Tigers
The Sugar Bowl could easily be represented by Georgia, Florida, or Alabama. However, we feel the Crimson Tide are the best team of the bunch and should win in a SEC Championship game at a neutral stadium. Alabama would then likely face the Clemson Tigers as the #2 team in the ACC in the Sugar Bowl.
Orange Bowl: Florida State Seminoles vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knights
The Orange Bowl is represented by the top ACC team and an at-large team likely the Big East Champion. The top ACC team should be Florida State. The Big East champion is looking like Rutgers. If the game turns out to be this match-up do not expect there to be much in terms of ticket demand. FSU would be big time favorites.